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Regional and pan-African institutions

African Continental Free Trade Area · AfCFTA

The African Union's flagship trade agreement — an ambition to create the largest free-trade area in the world by member-state count, covering 1.4 billion people.

Mandate

Agreement signed 2018, entered into force 2019, trading commenced 1 January 2021. Membership: 54 of 55 AU member states (Eritrea is not yet a party). Secretariat in Accra, Ghana. Goal: progressively eliminate tariffs and non-tariff barriers, harmonise customs, liberalise services trade, and enable continental investment, intellectual property, and digital trade.

How it works

Negotiations in phases: Phase 1 (goods, services, dispute settlement) — substantially concluded; Phase 2 (investment, IP, competition, digital trade, women and youth in trade) — ongoing; Phase 3 — to follow. The Guided Trade Initiative is the practical pilot under which a small set of products move under AfCFTA preferences across a small set of countries.

Why it matters

Long-run, AfCFTA could reshape African manufacturing by enabling regional value chains. Short-run, the constraints — non-tariff barriers, infrastructure gaps, rules of origin disputes, weak customs IT — mean that headline rates do not yet match realised trade flows. Kenyan manufacturers and processors are heavily exposed to whether AfCFTA actually gains traction.

What to watch

Status of Phase 2/3 negotiations, Guided Trade Initiative product expansions, country accession notifications, dispute-settlement rulings.