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Try Sovereign Analyst — Composite Track

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An African sovereign's debt-to-GDP is 72%. Real GDP growth 4.5%. Effective real interest rate on existing debt 6%. The current primary balance is −2.5% of GDP. Applying the debt-dynamics equation Δ(D/Y) ≈ (r−g)·(D/Y) − pb/Y, the debt-to-GDP path is:

StableFalling slowlyRising — at this trajectory roughly 4 percentage points per yearFalling rapidly