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Monetary policy

CBK decisions, MPC moves, bank rates, the transmission mechanism.

6 pieces in this topic

Data Note5 min readFeatured

The Pension Trade: How Kenya's Retirement Money Became a Government Bond Fund

Of every shilling Kenyans set aside for retirement, more than fifty cents now sits in government paper. The pension industry has stopped being an investment system and started being a financing system.
Stephen Omukoko OkothMay 9, 2026
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pensionsmonetary policyfiscal policy
Data Note5 min readFeatured

The Bank Always Wins: 34 Years of Kenya's Interest Rate Data

For 34 years, across crises, policy reversals, and economic cycles, Kenyan banks have maintained a lending-deposit spread averaging 9.51 percentage points. The institution has always been the winner.
Stephen Omukoko OkothApr 4, 2026
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bankinginterest ratesmonetary policy
Data Note5 min readFeatured

The World Still Drinks Kenya's Tea, But Its Fastest-Growing Export Is Flowers

26 years of Kenya's principal export data (1998–2025) reveal a structural shift: horticulture is overtaking tea, and the export mix is quietly changing.

Stephen Omukoko OkothFeb 25, 2026
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ExportsHorticultureTea
Data Note5 min readFeatured

Kenya and Uganda: East Africa's Closest Trade Siblings

If Uganda shut its doors, Kenya's exports would fall by close to 40%. 28 years of export data reveal a dramatic structural pivot away from Europe toward East Africa.

Stephen Omukoko OkothFeb 18, 2026
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ExportsUgandaEast Africa
Data Note5 min read

Which Month Do Kenyans in the Diaspora Send the Most Money Home?

It's not February, despite Valentine's Day. 15 years of diaspora remittance data reveal December dominance, a COVID shift that never reversed, and a North American corridor worth $2.9B annually.

Stephen Omukoko OkothFeb 14, 2026
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RemittancesDiasporaForeign Exchange
Explainer5 min readFeatured

Kenya's Debt is More Than Numbers — Here's What 26 Years of Data Shows

Kenya's debt has grown 22.9× in 26 years. But the real danger isn't the size — it's the structure. Costs, currency risk, and a narrowing revenue base make Kenya's debt position far more precarious than the headline ratio suggests.

Stephen Omukoko OkothFeb 10, 2026
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Public DebtFiscal PolicyNational Treasury